None of the above.
Seeing as I'm in need of some reassurance on this matter. I would love to hear why you think that. Please.
The only thing that will cause SHTF is some massive natural disaster, like a meteor, earthquake, that literally decimates or causes massive damage to a large part of the United States. So I guess something like that could happen tomorrow, maybe in 10 years, maybe in a million years, or never. As much as I distrust my government, I also know most branches can barely tie their shoes, much less organize some crackdown against the citizenry. Could it happen? About has much chance of some above mentioned natural disaster. The nation survived the great depression, what is going on today is nothing close, yet. Just ask your grandparents about it. It don't really matter who is elected in 2012, it doesn't matter the Mayan calendar ends in 2012. The world will keep spinning 'round, bad shit will happen, as well as good stuff. But in case I am wrong, I prep. I had a lot more to write, but it's been a long day, and my new electric blanket is calling my name for some sleep.