Author Topic: Normalcy Bias  (Read 1493 times)

Offline JohnyMac

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Normalcy Bias
« on: June 22, 2013, 05:09:38 PM »
Next Thursday our local Tea Party group is hosting a movie time event. The movie we are going to present is, The Mortal Storm directed by Frank Borzages. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mortal_Storm

The theme around this Jimmy Stewart movie is Normalcy Bias or "That can never happen here" syndrome. With that said, I thought it might be an interesting discussion to have amongst the forum members. 

Wikipedia defines Normalcy Bias as:
Quote
The normalcy bias, or normality bias, refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of governments to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred then it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[

Effects:
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The normalcy bias often results in unnecessary deaths in disaster situations. The lack of preparation for disasters often leads to inadequate shelter, supplies, and evacuation plans. Even when all these things are in place, individuals with a normalcy bias often refuse to leave their homes. Studies have shown that more than 70% of people check with others before deciding to evacuate.[2]

Examples:
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Not limited to, but most notably: The Nazi genocide of millions of Jews. Even after knowing friends and family were being taken against their will, the Jewish community still stayed put, and refused to believe something was "going on." Because of the extreme nature of the situation it is understandable why most would deny it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias

I must admit that at times I slack off of my prepping because I fall under the lure of Normalcy Bias. Then I see a story on the TV or read something in print that slaps me across the face and I start up again.

How would you rate your Normalcy Bias? How would you rate your family's and friends Normalcy Bias?

What other movies, books or events come to mind?


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1000meterstare

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2013, 10:15:33 PM »
I know what you mean, JohnnyMac.  Sometimes I get complacent because I can still be-bop to the store and get anything I want.  SHTF always seems to be in a cloudy, distant future.  I try to keep in mind that America's supply chain is actually very fragile.

Offline JohnyMac

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #2 on: June 23, 2013, 09:03:54 AM »
1000Meter I read a post somewhere by a Walmart cashier where he commented on the sheep that buy all of their food with SNAP cards - Steak, lobster, King crab, frozen pizzas, etc.

In short, he whined a bit in that these folks eat better than he does; however the little nugget I got from his post was -What will happen when the SNAP cards don't work or the grocery store will not accept that form of payment because the government isn't putting money in these peoples account (s)?

Last he wrote that 45 - 50% of his customers in a day use SNAP cards.
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1000meterstare

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #3 on: June 23, 2013, 01:53:58 PM »
That's scary.

Offline Jeremy Knauff

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #4 on: June 24, 2013, 01:47:49 PM »
Non-existent in my world. My prepping is only held back by finances?not motivation.

Alex1992

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2013, 03:12:35 PM »
Non-existent in my world. My prepping is only held back by finances?not motivation.
Same here Jeremy, 20 years old I'm still relying on a allowance, but of course I'm little motivated by shit like this to prepare for the future.

Offline Jeremy Knauff

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2013, 03:14:22 PM »
My situation is a little different...just got back on my feet after beating a terminal illness for the second time. Burned through a lot of savings.

Offline crudos

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #7 on: June 24, 2013, 11:15:37 PM »
My situation is a little different...just got back on my feet after beating a terminal illness for the second time. Burned through a lot of savings.
Hang in there Jeremy!

Offline JohnyMac

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #8 on: June 25, 2013, 09:08:37 AM »
Jeremy, sorry to hear that you burned through $$$$ due to a terminal illness. Many of the members on the forum have found themselves or a family member in the same situation. In short - It sucks and it isn't fair!

Sometime in the future, when you feel more comfortable with the folks on the forum, would you share your experience with your illness. Some of us have done this and it has helped out others on the forum who are going through "it" currently.

Glade you are here Jeremy!  :cheers:
« Last Edit: June 26, 2013, 12:09:33 PM by JohnyMac »
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Alex1992

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #9 on: June 25, 2013, 10:37:51 AM »
Sorry to hear that Jeremy, hang in there and for some reason I want to use the dancing banana  :dancingBanana:

Offline Jeremy Knauff

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Re: Normalcy Bias
« Reply #10 on: June 26, 2013, 11:26:09 AM »
Thanks guys!