I have been involved in some... events that were chaotic and some still are.
one universal truth there is that early 'stories' aren't complete. No nefarious schemes needed, just chaos.
when the World Trade Center went down, the first reported casualty numbers were over 10,000 people. by the end of 10 days, that number was only 6,000. it eventually settled at around 4,000. many people were reported twice or thrice. many reported people were out of the building at the time. it took a bit to settle out the numbers. i would assume some of the same things are at play here.
this doesn't discount people making hay during this - 'don't let any emergency go to waste'.
but 'don't attribute to malice that which can be explained by incompetence.
for my part, i think prudent patience is a virtue, i'll wait a bit before making any decisions. I have the time in this event.