AmRRON Predicts Russia to Invade Ukraine within The Next 30-Days

[JohnyMac]

With nothing else for President O' Biden to concede to Putin, ala Arthur Neville Chamberlain, AmRRON predicts that Russia will invade the Ukraine, within the next 30-days.

As of the date of this posting (11 Dec 2021 @ 18:30 Pacific) AmRRON is raising the communications readiness level to AmCON-3.  Numerous intelligence analyses indicate a high probability that Russia will conduct open combat operations against Ukraine.  Analysts are generally in agreement that war could break out within the next 30 days, and possibly much sooner.

GPS disruptions and jamming are already being reported in the region (see below).  It is expected that widespread cyber attacks will take place against NATO countries to disrupt command & control operations, which would likely emphasize internet and telecommunications, as well as potential power grid attacks. - AmRRON

Martin Armstrong, has predicted an earth shattering event in the first week of the new year, which will put the EU in a turmoil. Mmmmm? 

If when this happens, how will it affect,

> The EU,
> Asia/China, and/or
> The United States.

Thoughts?

[grizz]

Christmas holidays is the perfect time to attack because everyone will be relaxing and not on alert

[Jackalope]

    There's little doubt that Russia is going to proceed with their invasion.  China will act in unison with Russia to take Taiwan.  Once the missiles start flying, Iran and Israel will probably take advantage of the diversion to seek revenge on one another.  So, by the end of 2022, I'm expecting the world to be very different.  In the event the U.S. mainland gets attacked, I wouldn't expect the Federal government to survive.

     Concentrate on your own AO, be as self-reliant as you can be.

[JohnyMac]

Agreed gentlemen.

The Russian event, will affect us locally through internet and power grid interruptions. The stock market will have a correction in the 20 to 25-percent range. PM's will climb past current ceiling's. O' Biden's popularity will drop yet again as American's see  the President they voted for is very weak. There will be shortages of basic things in America not due to supply change but because of panic buying.

The EU will be fucked (Technical Term)! Markets will crash, fuel will be hard to find let alone expensive. There will not just be internet and grid interruptions, it will be down.  NATO will do nothing other than rattle a few sabers. I suspect we will see the beginning of a "dark winter" ala depression.

China...Will they invade Taiwan or India along the Himalayan border? Maybe both? I suspect they will wait to see what happens in the EU and how our President responds. With that written unlike Russia, China has its eyes on a bigger piece of the pie; Consequently, they will use pretty much anything in their arsenal to eat that pie.

From vaporizing D.C. to strategically EMPing population centers that border the Pacific- Probably most of our west coast.

If this happens, no need to talk about the affects on our economy or supply chain. \"/

In the Fourth Turning, the authors wrote that 2021 will be worse than 2020. 2022 will be worse than 2023 and a very dark two years post that.



 

[Felix]

IOWs, Rome is about to be sacked.
And my toga is gonna miss those regular washings.
American Partisan had a timely article basically warning that folks who intend to survive need to be in areas that were able to sustain farming back in the 1880's.   The wife has reneged on her agreement to go ahead with solar project, indeed we are very possibly headed for divorce.
Adjusting plans now, if it involves moving?   My water is 450 below surface and requires electricity to bring it up.
I would repeat JM's "technical term" but will ask for prayers instead.
At age 70 next month, the adventure of building a new life somewhere else lays open and inviting.
Suggestions as to location?

[pkveazey]

The wife and I have been prepping since 2008. Hmmmm... I wonder why we started in 2008? Between then and now, my olderst daughter did some Missionary work in the Ukrain and when she came home I started warning her to start prepping. She is doing a small bit of prepping like most people. Anyway, I told you that so I could tell you this. She said that when she was in the Ukrain, she saw ALL of the people there prepping by stocking up heavily on extra food a needed supplies. I think that her seeing that made her realize that my prepping was not so "Henny Penny" anymore. When the SHTF it gets on everybody.

[Nemo]

Next 15-30.  I don't think Putin would want to try to make things uncomfortable before Christmas.  A couple days after into early Jan would be near perfect timing.

Were there food shortages here, that would be the perfect time frame.  People hunkering down for the cold end of Jan and beginning to get desperate when things run out in the colder Feb.  Those that can deal with that looking to change locations in the beginning warmness of March, potentially causing conflicts in some localities. 

The serious disagreements in the colder weather would be on downtown where govt reliance is more prevalent.   Might look now for spring garden seeds if you have not already.

I know I am a bit shorter on many things I would rather not be.   I will be working a gun show this weekend.  Methinks spending an extra dollar or 2 will be warranted.

Nemo

[JohnyMac]

Post the great teleconference between President Putin and President O' Biden, Russia move 10,000 additional troops to the Ukrainian border. Boy O' boy, O' Biden sure told that man to back off.   

ABC News? Martha Raddatz said on Sunday that Russia President Vladimir Putin has added more than 10,000 troops to his military build-up near Ukraine following his call with President Joe Biden. - True News Hub

As read over at Forward Observer,

RUSSIA MOVES AIR DEFENSE TO BORDER REGION: Russian BUK-M1 air defense systems were sighted on rail cars deploying into the border region with Ukraine. Russia continues to deploy military forces to the Ukraine border. Ukrainian military units are now deployed in fighting positions along the borders of Ukraine?s breakaway regions controlled by Russia-backed separatists. (AC: The BUK-M1 is the same air defense system that shot down a Malaysian airliner in 2014 when it was fired from a Russian separatist region of Ukraine. These mid-range missile systems are a key pre-invasion indicator that Russia intends to invade Ukraine. If escalated by the Biden administration, the invasion could spill over into the U.S. in the form of cyberattacks on critical infrastructure. ? M.M.)

[Sir John Honeybucket]

Would Vladimir Putin attack before Russian Orthodox Christmas Day?  Their equivalent day for Christmas is on January 7th, not 25 Dec as in The West.

It's a thought.

- Gravity fed water purifier (like a Big Berkey) becomes increasingly good as water goes bad.

- If it's made overseas, best to buy it now. 

- Garden seeds for your region are always a smart investment.

-Without electrical power, old diseases become common again and as deadly as ever (maybe moreso, since generations of Americans have not been exposed to them.

- Sanitation, cleanliness & etc are survival skills. PLUMBERS SAVE MORE LIVES THAN DOCTORS.
> Buy soap NOW while it's cheap, then practice to make your own (wood ash fat/oil and time to let it cure so the lye doesn't injure you.)

SJH

[JohnyMac]

To funny SJH, my prediction was that he would move after January 7th, for exactly for that reason. LOL, great minds think alike.

[Sir John Honeybucket]

If we DO think alike...


Is that maybe a good thing or a BAD thing?

[JohnyMac]

  

[Jackalope]

If the Russians are thinking strategically, then they'll wait for the ground to freeze solid to improve mobility for tanks and other tracked vehicles.  They'll probably also want to act when there's a new moon, which occurs on January 2, and February 1, 2022.  Imagine major power interruptions here in the U.S. or in Europe on either one of those dates, serious die-off would be likely. Lots of human popsicles would be the result.  Damn, come spring, the air would be putrid!

[grizz]

If the Russians are thinking strategically, then they'll wait for the ground to freeze solid to improve mobility for tanks and other tracked vehicles.  They'll probably also want to act when there's a new moon, which occurs on January 2, and February 1, 2022.  Imagine major power interruptions here in the U.S. or in Europe on either one of those dates, serious die-off would be likely. Lots of human popsicles would be the result.  Damn, come spring, the air would be putrid!

With night vision they would be better off doing it when the moon is not out

[JohnyMac]

The EU is one big popsicle this December vs. December 2020. 128- (Euro) per megawatt-hour this year vs. last year of 20- (euro) per megawatt-hour.



I like the strategic thinking process that Jackalope and Grizz are using in their posting on this subject.

Why is there a supply shortfall?

Gas inventories in Europe in December were the lowest on record for the time of year. China, which is by far the biggest consumer of energy and commodities in the world, has ordered state-owned companies to secure supplies at all costs. Prices in Europe would need to stay high to attract cargoes of liquefied natural gas away from Asia, where China is stockpiling to power its economy and build reserves for winter. Earlier in 2021 Norwegian gas flows were lower than average during maintenance work at its giant fields and processing stations, and supplies from Russia were limited while it was rebuilding its own inventories. Russian President Vladimir Putin calmed the gas market in October by offering to help stabilize the situation, saying Russia could potentially export record volumes of the vital fuel to Europe this year. More recently, though, a key new avenue for Russian exports to Europe has become complicated by geopolitics. - Washington Post

When the Ruskies cross over the Ukrainian border, the EU will capitulate and do nothing to help Eastern Europe. 

[Jackalope]

With night vision they would be better off doing it when the moon is not out

Ummmm...a new moon is when the moon is not visible at night.

[JohnyMac]

Looking at a few things here.

Historically, Kyiv, Ukraine, experiences a deep freeze mid January. Specifically, Jan13th through Jan 24th.

Full moons are...
Dec 18th, Jan 17th, and Feb 16th.
New moon Jan 2, Feb 1

Again Russian Orthodox Church Christmas is Jan 7th.

On last nights ERIN net, a new check-in from MD mentioned that flights out of Andrews air force base have intensified and the rumor on the street within the DC Loop is... that there is a lot of negotiation going on behind the scenes with the Ruskies.

Has anybody been keeping up with Monkeywerx?

[grizz]

With night vision they would be better off doing it when the moon is not out

Ummmm...a new moon is when the moon is not visible at night.

 

[JohnyMac]

In my minds eye, I do not have a military background at all; the best time for an advanced military force to invade a country would be under a new moon. My reason being, a less sophisticated defensive force, would have troubles with a new moon even with 3rd generation NVD's. Just thinking out loud. 

I wonder if the Ukraine ever received those Javelin missiles from the Trump DOD/White House?

[JohnyMac]

R-135 reconnaissance aircraft,  have recently been deployed to the Ukraine/Black Sea, Northern Europe, Great Britain, and Caribbean. Monkeywerx reports that this is very unusual.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xOmH4ZUl7w

Tic tock...Tic tock... 

[pkveazey]

I realize that Wars are fought because one country has something that the other country wants but I see it like this. If I beat up my neighbor and take his land it just means that I now have twice as much grass to cut. Human beings can be real dumbasses.