Normalcy Bias - Ukraine Russia Drama

[JohnyMac]

Good morning folks. I have been monitoring the invasion of Ukraine since 2130 hrs. last night. The biggest concerns I have in this order are,

1) Crude oil prices. Crude oil will affect not only prices and availability at the pumps but fertilizer, lubricants,
    plastics, etcetera.
2) Food. With fertilizer coming in today - not tomorrow - at a 300% price increase over last year - Think less food
    at a greater price.
3) Communication. I suspect Russia will retaliate with western Europe and North America using already placed
    malware. Malware preplaced in our electric and internet grid.
4) China-Taiwan drama. While our countries military and civilian attention is focused on the Ukrainian- Russia
    drama, China may take advantage of the global confusion and invade Taiwan or other enemies along Chinas
    border.
5) What have I missed?

Possible actions

1a) Buy today any lubricants you may need for your vehicles,
       - Oil,
       - Oil filters,
       - Hydraulic oil,
       - Spare petrol for...Pay the extra bucks and buy non-ethanol 
       - What have I missed
      Keep your vehicles full of gas! This will serve two benefits,
       - Prices will climb. I suspect we will see $4.00 a gallon in the next 7-days,
       - Like in the late 1970's we will see supply shortages,
       - What have I missed
      Buy today, any petroleum based products if you need them ASAP,
       - Fertilizer,
       - Plastic products,
       - Medicines,
       - Vehicle & deep cycle batteries,
       - What have I missed

2a) I am not as worried about this because we have all been faithfully stocking our pantries. However, I suspect
      food to double in price over the next 12-months. Keep at it! Some things to look at which might be redundant
      based on what I have already written however, sometimes redundancy is good as it shows how things are
      interwoven within our lives,
       - Seeds,
       - Fruit plants and or seeds,
       - Fruit trees,
       - Fertilizer,
       - Canning jars and other storage items,
       - What have I missed

3a) Communication (Intelligence) is the heart at any successful operation. Militarily and or civilian. I am more
      worried about the internet going down because of this fact than I am worried about the electrical grid. If
      the electrical grid does go down, it will especially affect peoples health who need electricity to survive, e.g. O2
      generators.

      The economy also comes under the heading of communication. 80% of all money is transferred via the
      internet. Some examples are, money transfers (payroll checks), ATM withdrawals, buying the basics in our
      lives via a credit or debit card. Some suggestions to act on asap,
       - Have cash on hand. A minimum of one month's supply. I suggest 3 to 4-months,
       - If you have stocks, stay steady and do not sell. My thinking is the market will go down for sure however, I
         suspect it will go up as investors in the EU will be moving their investments from EU to USA stock market.
         Buy low sell high.
       - All your comms need to be charged and if you can buy extra batteries do it. Have you set up your radio
         shack with a few deep cycle batteries? Comms include, cell phones, ham radio (fixed and handheld Aka
         Handy Talkies 'HT') etcetera.
       - If you haven't already done so, buy rechargeable batteries and a recharger to charge them,
       - Print any MAG (Mutual Assistance Group) SOI (Signal Operation Instructions). If the electric goes out they
         will not do you any good sitting on your computer,
       - Turn on your 2-meter radio to monitor your MAG's pre-agreed SOI,
       - What am I missing

4a) With all of the drama happening in eastern Europe, what a great time for China to move not only on Taiwan but
      other countries along their shared border. Vietnam, India, Pakistan, Philippines etcetera comes immediately to
      mind. If this happens, the items I wrote to above become even that more important.

5a) So what have I missed folks?

I will leave you with this folks,

Normalcy bias, or normality bias, is a cognitive bias which leads people to disbelieve or minimize threat warnings.[1] Consequently, individuals underestimate the likelihood of a disaster, when it might affect them, and its potential adverse effects.[2] The normalcy bias causes many people to not adequately prepare for natural disasters, market crashes, and calamities caused by human error. About 70% of people reportedly display normalcy bias during a disaster.[3]

[grizz]

 

The only things I see you missed are medical supplies and defensive/offensive "tools"

EDIT - I see you did mention medicines but not medical supplies

[JohnyMac]

Thank you Grizz.

I just heard on the idiot box that Russia just released a statement that depending on what poopy pants O Biden says at 1230 hrs eastern, they will or may not attack our internet infrastructure. The interwize is one thing but keep in mind electrical too.

Sorry, I do not have a collaborating link for this most recent threat from the Ruskies.   

[grizz]

Thank you Grizz.

I just heard on the idiot box that Russia just released a statement that depending on what poopy pants O Biden says at 1230 hrs eastern, they will or may not attack our internet infrastructure. The interwize is one thing but keep in mind electrical too.

Sorry, I do not have a collaborating link for this most recent threat from the Ruskies.

I wonder how they will attack the internet?
- Shut it down?
- Work with (continue working with??) fb and other social media to censor everything?
- Other??

[JohnyMac]

Malware.

Malware is sitting on our infrastructure servers around the country -Heck the world. Maybe your computer. 

[Sir John Honeybucket]

Maybe if we order NOW we can still get specialty items like Bioeno batteries, Berkey water purification filters & etc.

I replaced truck tires a bit early, being concerned about supply disruption for when I really NEEDED new ones.

Alternate WATER supply methods.  If you are on a well, can you bring-up well water with no electricity?  Have you practiced doing this already?



-SJH

KEEP YOUR COMMUNICATIONS COMPUTER(S) AIR GAPPED, 100% OFF THE INTERNET. 

[Jackalope]

   Speaking of the malware, I was thinking of doing a back-up this morning, but decided against it.  Because, there may be malware already in my PC.  So, if the malware does activate, hopefully the existing old back-up is malware free.  If things get to the point that the back-up is needed, it probably isn't really needed, because there will be more important things happening.

[JohnyMac]

  Yupper Jackalope.

I just bought a new laptop. It was a B-Day present to myself.

Yesterday, I spent some time cleaning off all the junk that comes on a new computer.

The plan is to transfer file by file as needed to my new laptop. No blanket transfer for sure.