Just a few economic thoughts from the redoubt this morning. NOT IN ANY WAY economic advise from old Johnymac.
1) Today at this writing, the market has had 5-days of negative numbers. Today, the market is already down over 700-
points.
2) The market is going bearish and we are in a correction cycle of 20 to 30%. This will probably go on till the end of Q1
beginning of Q2.
3) History shows that a recession will follow a correction.
4) Looking at past bursting bubbles, history shows, investors move from stocks to .gov bonds. I suspect, based on our
President, world events, and the drum beats of war, the faint of heart will do as they have done in the past. I suggest
that some folks will hang tough in the market, then buy corrected stocks at the bottom of the correction. The market will
start its new climb by early spring.
5) Gold not silver, is starting to creep up. I suspect gold will break the $2,000- mark by the end of the correction period.
6) Due in part to fear of a collapsing US Dollar, more and more folks are moving to crypto investments.
7) Inflation will continue not at the 2021 pace but higher. The cause will be too much money chasing limited supplies. The
most recent US/Canada/Mexico vaxx mandates is reason for this new supply chain drama. Case in point...MrsMac and
I use 1-quart of milk a week. This time last year a quart of milk was $1.08. By mid summer it had risen to $1.18 where
it hovered till last week. Our 1-quart of milk jumped from $1.18 to $1.75 a quart this week. That is a 48% increase in
one week.
These are my thoughts for Q1. Thoughts? Rip it apart or add.