NIB - AUG 9

[Stephen]

Following is the Friday AUG 9 HF net National Intelligence Bulletin, sent via the EWARN HF net.
See forwardobserver.com for more information
(Personal note: I've been a paid subscriber for several years - well worth it and highly recommended.)

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ALCON,

National Intelligence Bulletin for Friday, 09 AUG 24 to follow.

Risk Levels: (1) Outlook Stable, (2) Elevated Risk, (3) Imminent Risk

(1) Outlook Stable

Food & Ag: Safety alert issued for Crecelac and Farmelac baby formula brands
after Cronobacter bacterial contamination was detected. / Beef cattle herd
remains at a 63-year low, with no indications that herds are being rebuilt.
(Analyst Comment: A shift towards rebuilding herds will result in higher
prices and possible availability issues. - R.C.)

Low Intensity Conflict: Routine levels of Israel-Palestine protest activity.

(2) Elevated Risk

Energy: DOE announced $2 billion in funding to boost electricity transmission
and distribution across 18 states. (AC: The funding adds 50 gigawatts but
will not offset projections that 100 gigawatts of power generation will
be lost in the mid-Atlantic and South regions alone. Regional power shortages
expected starting next year. - R.C.)

Econ & Finance:  Goldman Sachs Economic Research raised their 12-month recession
outlook to 25%, up from 15%. (AC: Goldman?s 12-month recession outlook
is significantly lower than the market implied probability of 41%. JPMorgan
Chase CEO Jamie Dimon forecasts a 65% chance of recession next year. Consecutive
rate cuts later this year should delay substantial concerns until after
the election. - M.S.)

Geostrategic - NATO: German defense officials continue to warn of an armed
conflict with Russia as soon as 2029, although some European NATO countries
believe it could happen sooner. (AC: The European and Pacific theaters of
WWIII could coincide, beginning in 2027-2029. - M.S.)

Geostrategic - INDO-PACIFIC: South Korea is debating whether or not to develop
its own nuclear weapons. / North Korean media reports that the government
moved 250 ballistic missile launchers to the border with South Korea on
Sunday, reinforcing the border with potentially 1,000 extra missiles.


(3) Imminent Risk

Geostrategic - MIDDLE EAST: U.S. Central Command?s General Michael Kurilla
made a second trip to Israel in a week to coordinate a security/defense
plan with Israeli Defense Force Chief General Herzi Halevi. / U.S. officials
warned earlier this week that Iran is preparing rocket launchers for a possible
attack on Israel. Numerous countries have removed embassy staff over a possible
Iranian reprisal. (AC: The most dangerous scenario remains a mass casualty
attack by Iran that leads to full-scale war with Israel, however, I doubt
this is the most likely course of action. - M.S.)


This is a public service of the Early Warning Network. Nothing follows.
//
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[Sir John Honeybucket]

Thanks Stephen,

Our energy outlook is something the enemy will continue to degrade, as long as they are able to do so.  The modern world (i/e  Western Civilisation ) is built upon abundant energy and transportation, they are our lifes' blood.  So, controlling these are ways to control the populace and to make us increasingly unable to resist tyranny.

Mud hut living is greatly over rated. 

- Sir John Honeybucket

[Stephen]

Good points, sir. As we state on our prep group home page, "... we aim to do more than merely survive, so where appropriate, we sometimes include topics that help us retain what makes us human rather than merely existing. Quality of Life matters."

[pkveazey]

Well, since my fellow man seems to be a total dumbass, I plan to not only survive but to thrive. Even someone who is only partially prepping has a chance to survive quite well compared to the others who are foolish enough to believe that the GOVERNMENT will take care of them. I made up my mind years ago that the only thing that the GOVERNMENT cares about is its own survival. The GOVERNMENT talks a good game but there is no way the GOVERNMENT gives a damn about you and me. When it all goes bad, I think it will be commonplace to trade several rolls of toilet paper for several ounces of Silver. My plan is to trade items for Silver or Gold and they can keep their worthless fiat paper notes. By definition, a NOTE is a loan document. When I trade, it will not be in promissory notes. I'm already fedup with the lies the GOVERNMENT is feeding us and it isn't going to get any better in the future.

[Sir John Honeybucket]

I am certain that the reason Hillary and other government creatures call us 'deplorables' is because we tend to have simple needs and wants, none of which they provide exclusively, many of us hunt, fish and grow a little garden. This makes us less controllable. Also, the Christians in the world are a constant irritant, because it's clear to us that , yes, we'll be good citizens, but DO NOT PUSH IT, because God is God and the government is not.